statistics
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So how do you get a non-respondent to predict his non-response?
Mark Blumenthal has a very interesting post about exit polling; he reports on a recent Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll which suggests that Democrats are more likely to participate in exit polls than Republicans. If this is a valid finding, it might go a long ways towards explaining the big discrepancy between the exit polls and… Read more
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The Elephant in the Room
The Burnham, Lafta, Doocy, and Roberts report of Iraqi mortality, recently published in the Lancet, has stirred up a hornet’s nest of controversy, not just among the various political camps, but among survey statisticians as well. I was a bit dubious of their point estimate (654 965), but I didn’t think too much about it… Read more
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“Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics”
If I read or hear this phrase one more time I’m going to puke. People are continually spouting off with far-fetched estimates and meaningless statistics in support of their pet cause, and then some other jackass digs up this hoary old Disraeli quote like it meant something. Folks, a sample statistic is a number computed… Read more
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Great Election Graphics…
…from the Canadian election. This is a great example of using the web to manage large amounts of information in a small display. Tip from Joe Katzman at Winds of Change. Read more
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THAT got my attention!
I just got a postcard for the latest issue of the Statistical Computing and Graphics newsletter. The newsletter has a new trick: With this new issue of the newsletter we start a tradition of sending you a postcard* in the mail heralding the forthcoming publication. We plan for this December’s postcard to be the first… Read more
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AP flunks AP statistics
Check out this gem from my local TV station and the Associated Press: OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) — The odds of the same Oklahoma Pick-3 lottery numbers coming up two nights in a row are a million to one, but that’s just what happened last weekend. [my emphasis] Sounds like somebody at the AP flunked out… Read more
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A do-it-yourself census!
This guy has the most ambitious–and creative–website ever. Go give him some data. Tip from Dymphna at the Gates of Vienna. Read more