statistics
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Anecdotal bias
I knew this, I just didn’t know I knew it: many people prefer stories to statistics. Tip from the Knowledge Problem. Read more
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Statistics is the new grammar
Cllive Thompson has a nice article in Wired about the need to learn statistics, pity it’s too short, and bit one-sided (heavy snow doesn’t contradict AGW, but a heat wave, that proves AGW!).Tip from Kaiser Fung at Numbers Rule Your World, whose blog post is a better article. Update (3 May). Discussion at Joanne Jacobs Read more
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Explaining conditional probabilties
Steven Strogatz has a go at demonstrating the Bayes’ Box, without the box. Hundreds of befuddled and off-topic comments ensue. I teach this thing in about an hour, and all my students can do it. Tip from Andrew Gelman (commenter #17). Update (4 May). More from Kaiser Fung. Read more
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Volcanoes and Airlines
Someday I hope to have time do something with this data. Tip from Andrew Gelman’s blog. Read more
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The cost of shoddy statistics
K. O’Rourke has a statistical horror story about a poorly thought-out clinical trial. It needs more references. Read more
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A split-plot primer
To a small boy with a hammer, everything looks like a nail. To an experienced statistician, every good industrial experiment is a split-plot design. I never did really understand these; maybe this paper will help. Tip from the JMP Blog. Read more
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Random ain’t easy
Face-detection algorithms can be fooled by random patterns, but only well-designed random patterns. Tip from the Instapundit. Read more