Blumenthal on polling

Some criticism of the Rasmussen polls has prompted Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com to write a couple of interesting posts:

• ‘Huffpollstrology’ and Response Rates explains why response rates alone don’t explain much, and
• More on Response Rates goes into much more detail.

The Rasmussen kerfuffle has prodded Mark to write a series of posts on the subject

• Rasmussen’s Index and the Intensity of Opinion, and the beginning of a multi-parter
• Can I Trust this Poll?, Part I.

Guess what my QuantLit students will be reading this fall…

Update (11 August).  Blumenthal continues with

• Can I Trust this Poll?, Part II

Update (13 August).  Blumenthal concludes his series with an audacious proposal to make polls more transparent:

• Can I Trust this Poll? Part III