What these results mean for a future epidemic is not clear. “If
avian flu became a pandemic tomorrow,” Dr. Ferguson said, “we would
start a crash program to make a vaccine.”
But he added that
rigid preventive measures like quarantines, mandated mask wearing and
widespread business closings would still need to be put in place.
“What
our study shows,” he continued, “is that interventions even without a
vaccine can be effective in blocking transmission. What’s much less
certain is whether society is prepared to bear the costs of
implementing such intrusive and costly measures for the months that
would be required to manufacture a vaccine.” [my emphasis]
Yeah, because it’s so important that I go to the mall and buy stuff, that another 5,200 people in town should die of the flu. I’m saving this one for my epi class next spring.
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